Tobin Bronze Stakes – 2021

Track: Good Weather: Fine

Twelve 3 year-olds are set to line up for the $200,000 Tobin Bronze Stakes.  There are four geldings, three colts and five fillies in this years field.  The key lead up race is the Redelva Stakes run here on April 17 – five of them come through that race.  The early favourite in the betting is Beau Rossa.  He comes back from 1600m to 1200m here which is some query but has been in terrific form. He won by seven lengths two starts ago at Sandown!  The second favourite is Minhaaj.  She was well supported in the betting in the Redelva Stakes but could only muster a midfield finish when not having the best of luck.

Top weight Rantings only win came in a Group 3 – he has been freshened since finishing down the track at Flemington.  Ocean Beyond is an unbeaten gelding trained by Daniel Bowman and should settle in the first couple in the run.  Rainbiel and Malicorne are very consistent – both have only missed the placings once each in their careers.  Smokin’ Val looked the winner of the Redelva Stakes last start while Litchfield County gets Damien Oliver.  Mileva is another in the mix.  The remaining runners are longer than $20-1.

1.  Ranting

Talented colt who has lost his way a bit since winning the Blue Sapphire at Caulfield during the spring.  If he can find his best he is right in this.

2. Beau Rossa

Beau Rossa bolted in by seven lengths two back at Sandown then probably should of won last start.  He is clearly very talented but does come back 400m in distance which is some query.  Should be in the finish.

3. Ocean Beyond

Unbeaten gelding resuming.  He won a maiden on debut at Geelong, then won the Listed McKenzie Stakes at Moonee Valley.  Should settle handy and is capable of measuring up with natural improvement.

4. Tradewind

Improved second up to run third in a benchmark 78 this track.  Not sure if that’s good enough for this?

5. Outlaws Revenge

Impressive winning his first three starts, however found listed level a bridge too far last time.  Deep into his first prep now is a concern for me.

6. Litchfield County

Was able to get the better of Curran (impressive winner last week at Caulfield) at Sandown on March 17 and hasn’t been far away at his last two.  D Oliver goes on.  Each way chance!

7. Lunar Hero

Trained by Dan McCarthy at Wangaratta.  He won a benchmark 60 here two starts ago but is likely to be out classed.

8. Minhaaj

Talented filly who wasn’t far off September Run during the spring.  She beat a good field on resumption at Caulfield then didn’t have the best of luck in the Redelva last start.  Potentially tricky map again but if the breaks go her way she can be in the finish.

9. Malicorne

Ultra consistent having finished in the top two at eight of her nine starts.  She has been given a freshen up since back to back seconds at Caulfield in February and can play a role here.

10. Mileva

Has won four of eight.  She raced in between horses in the Redelva where she looked to be travelling with no where to go until the last 250m.  She hit the line fairly well once clear and is in the mix again here.

11. Rainbiel

Bounced back from a poor Moonee Valley run to finish second in a benchmark 84 at Caulfield.  She is a very consistent on pacer who has missed a place just once in her career.

12. Smokin’ Val

Made her run down the outside and looked the winner of the Redelva before Muntaseera burst through to grab her late.  She is drawn to go back and attempt a sweeping run down the outside again.  Has an each way chance.

The following are the top 4 selections for this years race.

Jo’s Tips	Lewis’ Tips
2. Beau Rossa	11. Rainbiel
8. Minhaaj	9. Malicorne
3. Ocean Beyond	2. Beau Rossa
11. Rainbiel	10. Mileva

Group 1 Australasian Oaks 2021 (Morphettville 2000m)

Group 1 TAB Classic/Robert Sangster Stakes 2021 (Morphettville 1200m)

Group 2 Queensland Guineas 2021 (Eagle Farm 1600m)

Group 3 Hawkesbury Gold Cup 2021 (Hawkesbury 1600m)