1. Mirage Dancer – Scratched
2. Cape of Good Hope
It’s been a long time since he has put in a good run. Has Group 1 talent but that looks a life time ago.
His first up run in the Heatherlie Stakes was excellent getting back and scraping paint to finish on the heels of the place getters. He was the only one that significantly altered his in run position – the rest pretty much held their formation. Fitter now, expect him to sit closer from barrier 6. Stable is absolutely flying and are masters of training staying horses. 2 from 3 over 2000m reads well. He is a leading chance.
Haky comes through the Heatherlie. He started $100-1 there and was okay. Not sure where he gets to in the run from a wide barrier in this?
5. Shared Ambition – Scratched
6. Steele Prince
Another coming through the Heatherlie – he hit the line okay first up in that race. Ran 9th in last years Melbourne Cup so the quality is there but might be looking for 2400m + to be a genuine winning chance.
Honest customer who loves this track. Question whether he has the class to match it with these but will run an honest race.
8. Gallic Chieftain
I liked the way he finished off in the Heatherlie signifying he has come back well. The step up in distance and fitness suits. One of Victoria’s leading riders D Lane will give him a good steer from a good gate. He can run a race here and is one at big odds for the multiples.
He resumed off a lengthy break (nearly 2 years) at Flemington in July and was a good second behind Romancer. He then came out and run really well beating all but Al Galayel after having a little break between runs, that should of brought him right on. Ready to peak third up at 2000m.
10. In Good Health
He took many by surprise when he rode a hot speed and stuck onto win here three weeks ago coming off a mid week win. The second horse Sirconni was subsequently beaten less than a length in a group 2 the following week – it had every favour to go past him. He will roll forward again and who is to say the famous pairing of Moody and Nolan cannot repeat the dose.
He was last seen in July where he started favourite in the Banjo Patterson at Flemington – he disappointed on that occasion. It would be a big effort for him to win this.
Dabiyr started a warm favourite at Moonee Valley in a weaker race and on face value disappointed. He was a bit soft in the betting late which may have suggested he needed the run off the short break. Fitter now 3rd up and wouldn’t surprise me to see him run well.
13. Polly Grey
One from the Chris Waller army. He comes through the Orderofthegarter race. A big drifter on that occasion, hard to see him turning the tables.
14. Game Keeper
His two runs back have been good. The latest he was sharply up in trip (1200 to 1700) and chased a hot speed. Expecting Luke Currie to give him a good ride from a soft draw and he should be peaking third up. He is right in this.
15. Think We’re Due
Set a hot speed in the Heatherlie and stuck on well. Will go forward and make his own luck again.
16. Djukon – Scratched
17. The King
One of the emergencies to gain a start. Hard to recommend on his two Australian attempts.
This lightly raced Chris Waller gelding has a big spruik on it and comes down from Sydney for this assignment. Thought he closed off well first up before getting back in an on pacers race second up at Randwick, he might have been a bit flat there staying at a similar distance. From a wide gate he is going to get a fair way back but if they can make up ground look for him flashing home.
19. Super Girl
Super Girl is still relatively lightly raced and boasts a good third over a staying trip to Oceanex and King of Leogrance in the Autumn. She was good first up at Sandown before a a plain run at her second start this preparation. Up to a more suitable distance now, it would not surprise to see her improve significantly. Knock out!
Shandy needs one more scratching to secure a run. She has progressed quickly through the grades this preparation and was a big win last start getting no favours in run – back, wide and without cover. Fourth up looks perfect for her to have her first crack at open company.