Horse Racing Tips : TAS Sunday 9th July 2023

Our Hobart Horse Racing Tips for Sunday’s meeting.

Key Comments

Track: Currently a Soft 6 but there’s a touch of rain on the forecast. Will definitely race rain affected but won’t see a downgrade unless there’s consistent rain on race-day.

Rail: +5m (Previously in the True position)
Notes: The Hobart track is racing better than ever. It should race fair despite the rail shifting to the +5m position, any bias will largely be tempo dependent. Often if rain comes on race-day, runners will look towards the crown of the track.
As a general rule, runners who land in the front half of the field are suited at this track, with a slight advantage to those who land forward of midfield and can find a cart into the race from the wider lanes in the straight.
Jockeys to follow:
– Brendon McCoull: 26%SR @ 3.5% POT L100 Runners
– David Pires: 19%SR @ 19.6% POT L100 Runners (26.8% Career SR @ Hobart)Trainers to follow:
– J Luttrell: 10% SR @ 31% POT L100 Runners
– Scott Brunton: Career 19.1%SR @ 0.2% POT @ Hobart

Best Bet

Move on Over (Hobart Race 6 No. 2):

Has been beaten in close finishes last two starts. Drawn to control this race and gets in well against her own sex/in this grade. Should prove hard to get past on rain affected going. Looks an each-way special!

$5.00/2.00

Best Each Way

Berserker (Hobart Race 2 No. 5):

Willing to forgive a plain run last start after resuming with a nice run the start prior. Now 3rd up should be almost at peak fitness, and drawn a middle alley should get a nice run in transit and given every opportunity to finish strongly late. Quality horse on his day, and I think we get a price today to find out if he’s come back well this prep.

$8.00/2.40

Best Lay

Julius (Hobart Race 7 No. 5):

Looks the ‘obvious’ favourite coming out of a hot race behind Alpine Wolf, however he now steps out to the 1200m, a distance which he is yet to taste victory at 7 attempts. For a horse that could be vulnerable late, he’s too short in the market and worth taking on.

Lay (WIN) at < $3.00

You can place lay bets with Betfair

Race 1

7 Rue De Palais
10 Agnete
5 Loud Mouth
2 Freddy’sajetstar

Notes:
Backing #10 each-way. #7 a nice enough horse but very short.

Race 2

2 Creative Licence
4 Sweet Lucifer
5 Berserker
3 General Assembly

Notes:
Backing #4 and #5 (should drift). #2 just too short for me.

Race 3

10 Global Awareness
4 No Surprises
7 Where You From
2 Fashion Fox

Notes:
Wanted to back #10 but no meat on the bone at the price. #7 and #2 can run good races at a price

Race 4

4 Chi Mazel
1 Yarra Master
9 Banca Glee
5 Eagle Street

Race 5

3 Etosha
5 Quicken Up
7 Hot Wired
2 Mr Freeze

Notes:
#3 Etosha should be suited back in trip. Went up a lot longer early and now into right price. Should get every possible out in front with a smart claim. #7 goes well fresh, #2 I’d want to be with 2nd up from a break.

Race 6

2 Move On Over (BB)
6 Scardimalia
5 Day Performer
3 Unique Glow

Notes:

#6 backed early, but not convinced it’ll slot in from that draw and string 2 strong performances together. #2 looks a cracking each-way play, on-speed and racing well.

Race 7

5 Julius
1 Swoop Dog
9 Hellova Night
3 Dark Wanderer

Notes:

Against #5 at the price. Not sure what wins, but a hard race in my opinion

Race 8

5 Gee Gee Enuf Speed
2 Street Tough
11 Gee Gee Silentnite
3 Rich Clan

Notes:
#5 racing really well and recording strong ratings. #2 suited at the 1400m on the home track, with a nice claim. #11 racing well but maybe not good enough to win.

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2023-07-09T07:57:19+10:00

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