Best Bets
Our Happy Valley Horse Racing Tips for Wednesday’s meeting.
Best Bet | Lucky Sweynesse (Happy Valley Race 9 No.12)
Leaving the best until last tonight with this progressive son of Sweynesse. His debut was impressive to not only the eye but the ratings also, and knowing he will have plenty of improvement to come is scary. He beat home a couple of nice horses en route to his 2.5 length victory whilst recording the second quickest last 200m split of the entire meeting and seventh quickest over the final 400m. I have no doubt Purton retains the ride if it was weighted to suit, but unfortunately, this isn’t the case, and Moreira will take the ride. Hopefully, Joao has a win prior tonight to boost his confidence after a winless return on the weekend. The horse is drawn perfectly to stalk the speed and I have no doubt he is going to go close again.
Suggested bet: 1.3 units @ $3.10
Next Best
Presence (Happy Valley Race 1 No.4) & Villa Fionn (Happy Valley Race 1 No.8)
These two are clearly the best horses in this race and I am happy to play them both at nice prices.
Presence is coming out of a pretty tough Class 3 where he came with a nice run up the outside with eventual winner Zone D but just couldn’t match it with him, finishing 1.8 lengths back in fourth. 0.7 of a length separated second through to fifth which features Soulmate who won well next start and Surrealism who ran well in third on the weekend. Before this race, our boy ran into Cheerful Days who has since won a Class 1 and Class 2 and we got within 2.3 lengths of him. Purton takes the ride which itself adds a boost, he is drawn perfectly and should sit a touch closer in the run.
Villa Fionn has won two of his last three in Class 4 and is looking to make that jump into Class 3 successful. He loves this track and distance and is drawn tonight to be given every chance in the world. He is in tremendous form and can run a cheeky race when the conditions suit.
Suggested bet: 1 unit @ $4.40 & 0.7 unit @ $6.00
Other Bets
Zone D (Happy Valley Race 3 No.6)
This bloke will be beaming with confidence after breaking through for that first win for the preparation after four near misses. He ran some tremendous sectionals home off a below-average pace, recording the quickest final 800m and 600m of the entire meeting, second quickest final 400m, and fifth quickest 200m split. Teetan retains the ride and in this small field, if he can time his run to perfection again, he is going to be hard to beat.
Suggested bet: 1.3 units @ $3.30
Lucky Diamond (Happy Valley Race 4 No.5) & Super Hong Kong (Happy Valley Race 4 No.6)
Two horse race in my opinion between two who are in form. Lucky Diamond has run into some nice horses over his last three and just had to do too much work from a wide gate last time out before being over-run by Off The Reel late in the race. It wasn’t a bad run by any stretch of the imagination and still managed to beat the rest of the field by over a length. He is drawn much better here, Teetan sticks and there isn’t much pace, so expect them to sit handy with ease. Super Hong Kong is the clear second pick and he has been a winner of two of his past three. He did clash with Lucky Diamond two starts ago, and meets him 3kg worse off which isn’t ideal but his 2 length win last start is a big reason for that. I expect him to be right there in the finish.
Suggested bet: 1 unit @ $4.00 & 0.8 unit @ $5.00
Blissful Star (Happy Valley Race 5 No.7)
This is quite an open race with it opening $5.00 the field, but our bloke has had no luck over all three of his starts. He made some critical errors last start which cause the rider to stop riding briefly in the straight and in the end, finished 1.3 lengths back in fourth. The key for him is he gets Zac Purton back aboard, who knows him really well and can provide him with a strong ride from a favourable barrier. His rating last start was the best of his three starts to date and with natural improvement, he can be a big thorn here tonight.
Suggested bet: 0.8 units @ $5.00
A Smile Like Yours (Happy Valley Race 8 No.7) & Forte (Happy Valley Race 8 No.11)
Another wide-open race tonight, this has opened $5.50 the field. A Smile Like Yours ran a tremendous 2.6 length fourth last start, and yes there is such a thing. He was caught wide around the 900m mark and drifted right back to last before making a nice run up the outside. This horse generally likes to sit closer in the run so his run last start was full of merit. He has had no luck over his last couple and although he hasn’t drawn ideally here, he gets Joao back on who knows him quite well. He is a chance to run another massive race. Forte is one I tip quite a bit because I am convinced he is going to win one this preparation. So far he has placed three times behind nice horses. Last start he came with a nice run to finish 1.3 lengths back in third to Meridian Genius and Eason, and had he drawn a gate, he goes close to winning. He has drawn much better here and I love the addition of Daniel Moor to ride. He should be at peak fitness now and this is a very winnable Class 3.
Suggested bet: 0.7 unit @ $6.00 & 0.8 unit @ $5.50
Race 1
4 Presence – $4.40
Race 2
12 Diamond Star – $7.00
Race 3
6 Zone D – $3.30
Race 4
5 Lucky Diamond – $4.00
Race 5
7 Blissful Star – $5.00
Race 6
3 Lucky Archangel – $4.00
Race 7
4 Rainbow Light – $7.50
Race 8
7 A Smile Like Yours – $6.00
Race 9
12 Lucky Sweynesse (BB) – $3.10
View more tips
Horse Racing Tips: VIC Monday 29th April 2024
Key Comments On pace runners typically suited on this track. The best bet is early on in the day and is on the quick back up after being heavily tried last start. Best Bet Djawara (Mornington Race 2 No. 11) Good effort last start when well tried and this race is no harder. Hefel steers and just needs luck from barrier 8 to be breaking maiden. Check odds on SmartB Analyst: Bryce Parker Each Way Think Rock (Mornington Race 3 No. 3) Got close last start when charging to the line and Think Rock is overdue for another win. Maps a treat and this race suits. Yes to $2.90 Check odds on SmartB Best Lay No Lay Bet Race 1 2 Check Your Six 10 Telescope 4 Mintman 11 The Candy Girl Check odds on SmartB Race 2 11 Djawara (BB) 4
Horse Racing Tips: QLD Monday 29th April 2024
Key Comments The track is rated Good and the rail is in the true position. Best Bet Poet's Day (Thangool Race 4 No. 3) He led all the way to win by 4.3 lengths at Thangool on 13th April and has 2 wins and 2 places from his last 4 starts. Can win again. Check odds on SmartB Analyst: Jo Jackson Each Way Miss Daurian (Thangool Race 5 No. 10) Miss Daurian ran 3rd here on
Horse Racing Tips: NSW Monday 29th April 2024
Key Comments The rail is true. The best bet flies on this track and is weighted superbly. Best Bet Steely Girl (Goulburn Race 6 No. 8) Flies here with 6 placings ( and 3 wins ) from 10 attempts. Superbly weighted after the claim and comes into this with a big chance. Slightly awkward draw but will be very hard to beat with even luck. Check odds on SmartB Analyst: Bryce Parker Each Way Steely Girl (Goulburn Race 6 No. 8) Good win last start breaking maiden and may well be able to go on with things here. Maps well, looks a backable price and this race is the next logical step. Check odds on SmartB Best Lay No Lay Bet Race 1 2 Beograd Boy 4 Bledisloe 9 Sydney Gal 8 Snipperty Vixen Check odds on SmartB Race 2 2 Chaotic Beauty 8
Horse Racing Tips: TAS Sunday 28th April 2024
Key Comments The track is Soft and the rail is +4 metres the entire circuit. As a general rule, runners who land in the front half of the field are suited at this track, with a slight advantage to those who land forward of midfield and can find a cart into the race from the wider lanes in the straight. Best Bet Sky Land (Hobart Race 1 No. 10) This 2YO filly takes on the older horses here but has been very game