Best Bets
Our Morphettville Horse Racing Tips for the weekend. The feature races are the Group 1 Australasian Oaks (race 7), Group 3 Breeders’ Stakes (race 5), Group 3 Chairman’s Stakes (race 6), Listed City of Adelaide Handicap (Race 8), and the Listed H C Nischke Stakes (race 4)
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My Boy Birmingham | (Morphettville Race 9 No.7)
Really like this Unencumbered gelding to finish us off on a high in the last. He has had two nice jumpouts in preparation for this and although 1300m is the shortest he has run, he has the X-factor to be able to get him through. His form last preparation has him right up to this and this race isn’t that deep. There does look to be a bit of speed but he has drawn ideally in barrier 6 and should hold them out. I love the booking of Jamie Kah, who in the last 12 months has had a 27% strike rate on horses she leads on. Let’s finish on a high!
1.1 units @ $3.70
Next Best Bet
Last Girl Love | (Morphettville Race 2 No.10)
I am loving this combination today of Kah and McEvoy and I think they can get the job done in Race 2 with Last Girl Love. This Snitzel filly had the blinkers applied last time out in the Clare Lindop Stakes, but unfortunately, we weren’t able to see her full potential as she finished a long way back and post-race she was found to be lame. She has had a month off and will get the blinkers taken off for winkers, and most importantly, she steps back to benchmark 60 grade from Listed quality. I don’t think 1250m is going to be an issue as she will be on the pace either box seating or leading and she will be strong through the line.
1 unit @ $4.40
Best Lay
Mr. Metrics (Morphettville Race 1 No. 11)
I thought he was very poor at Oakbank last start despite having a few issues in the run but his two wins prior haven’t rated very well. He has drawn barrier 11 and is taking on the older horses in a race where I have many in front of him. He can win without me.
$3.90
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Other Bets
Harleymoven | (Morphettville Race 6 No.4)
His last two runs have been something to behold, winning an open colts and geldings race over 1500m two back by 4.3 lengths before heading to the Port Adelaide Guineas where he was again very dominant, winning by 3.7 lengths against similar opposition. This bloke is all class and they are only offering the price they are due to people thinking about the wide draw. The majority of the speed is wide, so he will get a nice cart into the race and I expect his class to show once again.
1.4 units @ Betfair SP
Bons A Pearla | (Morphettville Race 7 No.4)
I thought this guy was overs already before El Patroness come out, and he is still sitting at an attractive price, which tells me the bookies don’t fear him and a lot of punters don’t want him. I loved his run in the Auraria Stakes behind rival My Whisper who he meets 3kg better off for a 0.6 length defeat. 2000m shouldn’t be an issue and they have swapped the blinkers for winkers which is a good move. He maps to get a nice run and I am expecting us to go close.
0.4 unit @ Betfair SP
Point Blaze | (Morphettville Race 8 No.12)
I liked the value on offer for this daughter of Shamus Award and I think she is flying under the radar at big odds. Although she was knocked off in benchmark 76 quality last start, her first-up run in Listed quality was immaculate behind Ironclad and Manhattan Times, where she finished 2.5 lengths in fourth but was awkward out, laid out near the turn and she got blocked a touch in the straight but still hit the line well. She is ready for the 1400m now and looks to camp behind a speed battle of the favoured runners. If Crowther can remain calm behind this speed, she is going to get her chance to run past them late in the straight. This is worth a speck.
0.2 unit @ Betfair SP
Race 1
6 Rialtor
1 Yulong Patrol
3 Metro Legend
7 Chill With Teejay
Race 2
10 Last Girl Love
8 Shes A Toff
4 Miss Langtry
1 Miroku
Race 3
8 Gaze Grise
7 Diamonds
10 Madame Bolli
6 Centrefield
Race 4
5 Asymmetrical
2 Illation
6 Star of Chaos
10 Defining
Race 5
2 Eye of the Eagle
5 See You In Heaven
1 Twin Stars
6 Street Delight
Race 6
4 Harleymoven
5 Son of Emperor
14 Bundle of Fun
11 Palani
Race 7
4 Bons A Pearla
3 Daisies
5 Douceur
7 Mac N Cheese
Race 8
12 Point Blaze
3 Morvada
1 Sansom
6 Magnabella
Race 9
7 My Boy Birmingham (BB)
4 Left Hand Man
5 Arkham Knight
13 Aiguilette
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Horse Racing Tips: VIC Tuesday 7th May 2024
Key Comments The rail is true. The best bet is on the first of the day and looks well placed to notch up its maiden win. Best Bet Superior Zara (Benalla Race 1 No. 8) Hard to beat resuming and the market should tell the story late. This 3yo Filly strikes the ideal race to break through and brings a strong ratings profile in comparison to the field. Hard to beat. Check odds on SmartB Analyst: Bryce Parker
Horse Racing Tips: QLD Tuesday 7th May 2024
Key Comments .The track is rated soft and the rail is +4.5 metres from the 1000m to the winning post and +3 metres for the remainder. Best Bet Missile Thunder (Townsville Race 6 No. 8) He came from last for a 1.5 length win over 950m at Cairns last outing and has won 6 of 11 races at Townsville. Proven on soft going and will be hard to beat. Check odds on SmartB Analyst: Jo Jackson Each
Horse Racing Tips: QLD Monday 6th May 2024
Key Comments There are 7 races on a good track where the rail is in the true position. Best Bet Xpresso (Ipswich Race 5 No. 3) Won at this track and distance first-up this campaign then put in a good run at Eagle Farm second-up where he was bumped and struck interference. Should race on the speed and be hard to beat. Check odds on SmartB Analyst: Jo Jackson Each Way All's Fair (Ipswich Race 6
Horse Racing Tips: Sha Tin, Sunday 5th May 2024
Key Comments There is a huge 11-race program where the feature is the Group 3 Queen Mother Memorial Cup over 2400m (race 8). The rail is in the B position. There is plenty of rain forecast so the track will be a yielding surface. The first race is at 12.30 pm Hong Kong time which is 2.30 pm AEST. Best Bet Storming Dragon (Sha Tin Race 7 No. 8) Storming Dragon finished a length 3rd at his only start. He’s won a trial