Current Total: +4.35 units.
A strong start in week 1, week 2 proves a lot more difficult but there are still some opportunities around
Buffalo Bills v Miami Dolphins
3 am Melbourne time
Looking for a form reversal in this early game. The Bills came out as 6.5 favourites against the Steelers and laid a complete egg. Allen looked poor and the defence really struggled. The Dolphins on the other hand escaped with a last minute fumble by the Patriots to steal a victory where they were a +3.5 underdog. The Miami offence looks awful with Tua under centre. He makes a lot of mistakes and based on last season and week 1 he hasn’t really improved. Around him he also doesn’t have fantastic weapons. The Bills despite losing were still leading at ¾ before imploding on the back of a strong defence that should eat up this Miami O, and based on pre season expectations and what we know they were last year, happy to accept last week was an aberration and they get right here.
Back the Buffalo Bills -3.5 at $1.90 for 1.5 units
Dallas Cowboys v LA Chargers
6:25 am Melbourne time
The Chargers looked awesome in week 1, but didn’t quite put up the score to justify how dominant they were against Washington. To go across the country and win in week one is always a great effort, and now they return home to the warm confines of Los Angeles to take on the Cowboys who pushed Tampa all the way in week 1 and only just fell short thanks to some dubious reffing and missed field goal opportunities.
The issue for Dallas here is losing Demarcus Lawrence to a foot injury who was scintillating against the Buccaneers, and that’s a Dallas defence that was dead last in ranking for last years season, and now loses its best player. The Chargers have Herbert at QB who if used correctly will pick apart this weak secondary with long throws and Ekler should be able to run right through the Dallas defensive line. Dak played very well in week 1 but the Cowboys run game looked awful with Zeek not returning to the form we once knew. Weighing all things up the Chargers look to continue winning ways in what should be a high scoring affair to cover the line of a flat 3 points.
Back the LA Chargers -3 at $1.91 for 1.5 units
Kansas City Chiefs v Baltimore Ravens
10:20 am Melbourne Time
The biggest and most anticipated match of the round is saved for prime time where two titans of the AFC face off in Sunday night football.
Both teams are coming off down performances by their standards, however the Chiefs even after looking rather average against the Browns, came back from a 9 point deficit with 10 mins left to win the game thanks to yet another incredible display by Patrick Mahomes, wheres the Ravens looked a defensive shambles against the Raiders in what will likely be one of the games of the year come the end of the season. The Ravens have a lot of issues. Their defence was abhorrent against a Raiders team that won’t be making playoffs, and also loses another key linesman for most of the season. They have little to no run game thanks to the injuries in pre season, while Lamar was just okay in the opening match.
The Chiefs have shown they are just winners, however a concerning stat is that in their last 10 wins, they have only covered the line twice. A lot of this is when they take the foot off the gas against weaker opposition, but in this spot early in the year, a healthy roster against an injury ravaged one and with a point to prove to show the league they are still the dominant favourite, they should do enough to cover the -3.5 start.
Back the Kansas City Chiefs -3.5 at $1.90 for 1 unit