Overall P/L: -8.8u
Cleveland Browns @ Miami Dolphins
Monday 14th November – 5 am Sydney time
I found this an interesting match up and when I saw the line, I couldn’t pass it up.
Let’s start with Cleveland who had the bye last week but the week prior, handed their divisional rivals and Joe Burrow a 19-point loss, registering just their third win this season. One thing about the Browns is that they are fighters. Their average loss margin is 8.8pts which got blown out after their 23-point loss to the Patriots, as without it, it’s only an average of 2.2pts. Much like their rivals, they can score some big points and it’s basically going to be a battle of the defences and which one can make the big plays.
Miami is aiming for four wins in a row but their wins were only against the Bears, Lions, and Steelers by an average of 4.3pts. They have cracked 30pts over their last two wins but only by 4pts and by 3pts, so if you like betting total points, I am expecting this one to be high.
Despite the Browns having to travel to Miami, I expect them to fight hard on the back of Nick Chubb and Jacoby Brissett. Tight game which could go either way but should be tight.
Back the Cleveland Browns +3.5 : 1.5u @ $1.86
Denver Broncos @ Tennessee Titans
Monday 14th November – 5 am Sydney time
I really like the line on offer, as I expect it to get wider if Tannehill plays.
The Titans have played their last two without their main man for a win over the Texans by 7pts and they took the Chiefs to overtime before going down by 3pts. Derrick Henry has been immensely good and the Broncos actually give up almost 5yds a carry, which is going to be vital against one of the best running backs in the NFL. Prior to their loss to the Chiefs, they were on a five-game winning streak, though much like their opposition today, what they faced haven’t been the best teams.
The Broncos finally go the job done last weekend when overseas when they beat the Jaguars by 4pts. Prior to that win, they relied heavily on the defence with Russell Wilson and the offence struggling to put two and two together. It will be interesting to see how they come out from the bye, but they will need to be ready for King Henry.
If it is Willis at quarterback, I expect this to remain tight but the Titans to sneak one at home. I expect a much better margin if Tannehill is ready to go. Take the line.
Back the Tennessee Titans -2.5 : 1.5u @ $1.83
Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers
Monday 14th November – 8:26 am Sydney time
Green Bay has simply been abysmal.
They have lost their last five matches against the Giants, Jets, Commanders, Bills, and the Lions, with their latest against the Lions being their most embarrassing yet. They were terrible and Aaron Rodgers threw the most interceptions in one game that I think he ever has. I am not sure what is going on up there in Wisconsin, but now they have to face a top tier defence who would be well rested from the bye.
The Cowboys is that team who have only lost twice this season with their last two matches handling the Packers divisional rivals in the Bears and Lions with ease. Whether they are facing the duo of Elliott and Pollard or just Pollard, the Packers will have their work cut out for them, especially with Prescott in at quarterback. Their defence is where their heart is and they are among the best in the league at the moment.
I expect the Cowboys to come out and win this, and the line is more than acceptable.
Back the Dallas Cowboys -3.5 : 3u @ $1.84
Summary: Total Units Used: 6.0u
Cleveland Browns +3.5 : 1.5u @ $1.86
Tennessee Titans -2.5 : 1.5u @ $1.83
Dallas Cowboys -3.5 : 3u @ $1.83
No Multi this week, but if you did it would be $6.19
*All Prices/lines via Sportsbet as of 12/11/22