AFL ROUND 6 PREVIEW
Fremantle $2.75 vs St Kilda $1.45
One of the big questions leading into this game is will Fremantle superstar Nat Fyfe play – having missed last week’s game after injuring his hamstring two weeks ago against the Suns. I would suggest that it is rare that one player in the AFL would have such an influence on his team as Nat Fyfe does – perhaps Patrick Cripps from Carlton would be the other. If he is to play, which appears more likely than not, I think it will simply mean that Fremantle’s losing margin becomes smaller. Fremantle won last week mainly due to Adelaide’s poor kicking both in front of goal and around the field – Adelaide is on the bottom of the AFL ladder. On the other hand, St Kilda is flying under coach Brett Ratten – I think they will embrace the hub life and should have too much class for Fremantle.
Suggested Bet – St Kilda Line -12.5 @$1.90
Melbourne $1.65 vs Gold Coast $2.25
I am surprised to see Melbourne clear favourites for this game coming off a really poor month of footy. They have received plenty of negative press this week and coach Simon Goodwin has swung the axe at the selection table omitting four players which includes high profile recruit Adam Tomlinson.
The Gold Coast’s form since the resumption reads really well – they began with three dominant wins in a row at their home ground before traveling to Geelong last week – after losing young gun Matt Rowell early I thought they stuck on really well against a Geelong side fired up for their super stars Joel Selwood (300) & Gary Ablett (350) milestone games.
Suggested Bet – Gold Coast Line + 6.5 @$1.90
Lewis’ Round 6 Betting Strategy
Gold Coast Line – 1.5 units @$1.90
Multi – 1.5 units @$2.02
- St Kilda – H2H
- West Coast – Tri Bet (-19.5 points)
Same Game Multi – .3 unit @$9.18
- St Kilda – H2H
- Jack Billings (St Kilda) – any time goal scorer
- West Coast – H2H
- Tim Kelly (West Coast) – to get 15 or more disposals
- Gold Coast – Line (+6.5 points)
- James Harmes (Melbourne) – to get 15 or more disposal