A solid meeting on the Gold Coast for QTIS Jewel raceday is spearheaded by the rich 2YO and 3YO races. Unfortunately the program has been dampened by wet weather throughout the week and it’s unlikely the track will get out of the heavy range. We’ll be looking for horses who can hopefully handle the wet conditions. The track was rated a Heavy 10 as of Friday afternoon, with a few persistent showers lingering around which will likely mean it’s next to no hope of drying out. The raceday forecast is clear but it’s unlikely to be enough to see an upgrade back to a soft.
Race 4 – Wapiti
Concede that the favourite Ligulate will be awfully hard to beat, but I think Wapiti is very well-suited and appeals at the slightly better price. He goes well ‘second-up’, although this is only his second run after a freshen-up (not a proper break) so I’m not concerned with the 1800m. He’s also never missed a place at the Gold Coast track and last time he was at the 1800m on this track he ran into Paradee, who was and still is flying. He gets into this event on the minimum and has drawn a nice middle gate that will give jockey Ben Thompson options. Another positive is he’s sure to handle the wet track as he’s unbeaten (2/2) on the heavy.
Race 7 – Jadentom
Classy Toowoomba mare Jadentom is on trial for a Melbourne trip when she steps out here trying to keep here exemplary first-up record intact after a brilliant last prep which included taking out the Weetwood last year. She’s won 5/7 first-up and given she’s 1/1 on heavy tracks, trainer Lindsay Hatch is confident the wet surface will be no issue. The sticky part could be gate one, with the Gold Coast fence generally not the place to be most meeting, and likely even more so on the rain-affected track. However, if she can box seat and be steered out to the middle upon straightening she should be too good for them.
Race 8 – Better Get Set and Ruby July
Keen to have each way bets on two outsiders in the 3yo feature. Better Get Set has gone up an enormous price after her run at Eagle Farm three weeks ago. She had no luck and motored home into fifth after being well-backed. She went straight in the black book after that run where she was in my view clearly the run of the day from a wide gate and being stuck three and four wide. From gate two she will get a much more economical run and has run ok at her only try on a heavy deck. She’s in a hot race but I’m sure she shouldn’t be going around at the $70-$80 mark.
Ruby July is unbeaten and ran serious time last start at Townsville. Over the 1000m she clocked sub-56 when a $1.28 favourite on a soft 6. To put that into perspective, the $2.15 favourite in this Gold Coast race, Miami Fliess, ran just under 58 seconds on debut at the Sunshine Coast on a similar soft 6 rated surface. Admittedly, Miami Fliess was throttled down, but the times give Ruby July an undeniable chance of upsetting this favourite. Gate 12 should be no issue as she has enough to get across and it’s likely that out wide will be the place to be late in the afternoon.
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