Best bet – Race 8 #5 Spaceboy
Speed to burn here and it’ll be up to who can absorb the pressure and kick on the turn – and I’m hoping Spaceboy can see out the 1050m the toughest. From gate one he can lead them, with Tavisan right there and King Klaus and Intrepedacious coming over from out wide, although the latter of that pair may be more conservative first-up (especially without a trial). Spaceboy is based in Sydney and has raced well there – but has recently been back-and-forth to Melbourne where he’s run well. The most recent run in the G3 The Heath was a cracker, running ninth but beaten only 3.55 lengths behind Everest contender Masked Crusader. Spaceboy looks the class sprinter here and is very well-placed.
Next best – Race 9 #2 Enterprise Pomme
A really quality 3yo event here but Enterprise Pomme returns from a ripper run in Sydney and should be winning. She was just over a length off Jamaea in the G2 Furious Stakes, a race which included subsequent G2 Tea Rose Stakes winner Four Moves Ahead. She clearly has the class edge on her rivals but the wide gate does looks a touch tricky. If they elect to run (which I’m assuming they will) it suggests the stable is confident she can get across and find a spot. My speed map backs that up – she can lead or sit one-out, out-back. Soft ground is no issue, she’s one-from-one on that going, in fact she won a trial at Rosehill on a heavy, so perhaps the more rain the better.
Best Each-Way – Race 4 #8 Genuine Al
Big odds in a tough race, but he’s a progressive galloper and still largely untapped. He’s only had the nine starts – and recorded four wins, with two of those on soft ground, so we can be confident he’ll get through it if there’s more rain (which is anticipated). He will have to bounce back from failing when favourite last start at Ipswich, but he lost it at the start when he was near last. The key to him is rolling on the speed, and from the wide gate there’s shouldn’t be too many other options. He can sit outside the lead and be hard to run down.